Date: 9/24/19 5:58 am
From: Betsy Kane (via carolinabirds Mailing List) <carolinabirds...>
Subject: Re: 3 Billion birds gone
Gary, Parkin, and others:

We definitely don't have till 2050. About a year ago, scientists confirmed
we had about 12 years to take massive action to address global warming to
avoid much of the planet becoming incapable of sustaining human settlement,
not to mention anything like normal ecosystems.

We're looking at the entire Greenland ice sheet melting -- ice up to a mile
thick that, by itself, melted, will raise sea level multiple feet. We're
looking at refugee migrations of tens to hundreds of millions of people.

Bill McKibben said last Thursday evening (at his well-attended lecture at
East Carolina University) that "If you think the migration of a few hundred
thousand Central American refugees to the US southern border caused
political upheaval, imagine what 100 million climate refugees on the move
will do."

He said, "The question is not whether we are headed to hell, the question
is, how hot will that hell be."

What we do THIS YEAR -- and for the next year after that, and the year
after that, until we reach a point of certain feedback mechanisms being
triggered that we don't yet understand very well, but they overwhelmingly
do not act in our favor -- determines how hot our planet will get.

It is not hopeless. Every one of us can act.

It's also not a binary thing -- what we do next determines a range of
outcomes, from really bad to very bad.

I know these words are mostly "preaching to the choir". There is value in
the choir singing heartily.

Some recent research on political change concludes that only 3 percent or
so of people are necessary to create sufficient resistance action to topple
apparently hard-fixed political regimes.

Food for thought. Enjoy your birding day.

Betsy Kane
Washington, N.C.
elevation 10'

On Tue, Sep 24, 2019 at 8:39 AM Laura Ratchford <carolinabirds...>

> Great post, Gary. Thank you.
> On Tue, Sep 24, 2019 at 8:33 AM Gary Harbour <gharbour...> wrote:
>> All,
>> Parkin is right. The micro stuff is stuff we can do, should do, and will
>> make a difference. But the big picture is what the science tells us.
>> Today habitats are moving north at 15ft/day. If we don’t figure out a way
>> to go carbon neutral by 2050 the world will look very different from the
>> one we live in. Right now we are veering off of a course that would only
>> limit warming to 3C. While, average global temperature increases of 3-4C
>> may not seem like much, it’s 5.5-7.2F. We have to remember that is an
>> average (it will be 2 times that in the arctic) and it’s not just
>> temperature. We all know hurricanes will be stronger because of the extra
>> heat in the ocean, we will have larger down pours as moisture in the air
>> increases 7% with each 1C. But by 2050, we will have desertification of
>> large parts of our Southwest, Southern Europe, Southern Asia, and Africa
>> leading to famine and water scarcity for 100’s of millions of people. This
>> along with sea-level rise will mean 100’s of millions of climate refugees
>> from the world's coastal cities. Most of the oceans today will be hot-dead
>> zones of acidic water. There is no Planet B. Our progress, in moving to a
>> carbon free economy is not anywhere near fast enough to avoid this fate for
>> our (today’s) children, much less future generations. Just ask yourself,
>> what if the Scientists are right? Listen to the science. Listen to the
>> birds.
>> Good Birding,
>> Gary
>> “We Do Not Inherit the Earth from Our Ancestors; We Borrow It from Our
>> Children”
>> Wendell Berry
>> On Sep 24, 2019, at 7:58 AM, Laura Ratchford (via carolinabirds Mailing
>> List) <carolinabirds...> wrote:
>> Thanks, Parker--you make a great point. I need to examine my cynicism
>> about government and politics. I also wonder if there is a way to bring
>> attention to the terrible problem of bird strikes to the corporate sector.
>> LEEDS sustainability standards have been embraced by commercial
>> developers--perhaps raising awareness among building owners about the
>> terrible problem of bird deaths by window strikes--and the fixes
>> available--could also bring real changes.
>> On Tue, Sep 24, 2019 at 7:49 AM Parkin Hunter <tparkinhunter...>
>> wrote:
>>> I agree we all should do stuff on what is really a micro level. However,
>>> think about this as reported by Ballotpedia:
>>> . The *federal*government owns 4.64 percent of *South Carolina's* total
>>> *land*, 898,637 acres out of 19,374,080 total acres. *South Carolina* ranked
>>> 30th in the nation in *federal land* ownership.
>>> Ballotpedia › Federal_land_policy_i...
>>> The direction government is taking on conservation is appalling.
>>> However, to have any real inpact, government has to
>>> change. People have to vote, maybe against their own perceived self
>>> interest in some areas, to get better conservation laws or even get current
>>> ones such as the MBTA and ESA enforced.. With the current gutting of the
>>> Clean Water Act, watch how fast small wetlands are going to disappear. If
>>> you vote only to reduce taxes and shrink goverment, my hypothesis is that
>>> birds and everything are in big trouble. As I understand it, proposals are
>>> out there to open Chaco Canyon to uranium mining as well as to expand
>>> logging and mineral development in the Tongass National Forest.
>>> Apologies for saying too much. If I offended anyone, I apologize for
>>> that also. I feed birds and I think do a lot of conservation but am under
>>> no delusion- illusion that this will have any noticeable or measureable
>>> impact.
>>> Parkin Hunter
>>> Columbia, Ridgeway, Garden City Beach sc
>>> Sent from my iPhone
>>> On Sep 24, 2019, at 7:23 AM, Laura Ratchford <lratch...> wrote:
>>> Agree (sadly) about Congress. But there a few things that I know I can
>>> do: leave snags on my property when trees die--just have them topped; cover
>>> all windows in my house with the same film that the Toronto Zoo used with
>>> their glass entry caused a massive number of window strikes; plant native
>>> plants. I'd love to hear other suggestions!!! Thanks to all of you, Laura
>>> On Tue, Sep 24, 2019 at 4:11 AM "J. Merrill Lynch" <
>>> <carolinabirds...> wrote:
>>>> To all of you who advocate trying to solve this problem through the
>>>> political system I ask this question. Do you think the representatives in
>>>> Congress represent you and your interests? If so you are comfortably
>>>> delusional.
>>>> Merrill Lynch
>>>> Echo Valley Farm
>>>> Watauga County, NC
>>>> Sent from my iPhone
>>>> On Sep 23, 2019, at 5:41 PM, Simon Thompson (via carolinabirds Mailing
>>>> List) <carolinabirds...> wrote:
>>>> Thanks Parkin
>>>> This is not a dead horse at all- we ALL need to be talking about it,
>>>> writing to our representatives and getting the word out that we don't like
>>>> what this administration is doing at all.
>>>> Keep up the good work
>>>> Simon
>>>> Simon RB Thompson
>>>> Ventures Birding Tours
>>>> <>
>>>> Please use the Ventures e-mail (<Venturesbirding...>) to contact
>>>> the Ventures office - thanks!
>>>> On Mon, Sep 23, 2019 at 5:12 PM Parkin Hunter <carolinabirds...>
>>>> wrote:
>>>>> I don’t think it is beating a dead horse. Look at this admitted
>>>>> anticipated damage to bird life in coastal Alaska. If our government does
>>>>> not change, I do not think there is really any hope.
>>>>> <>
>>>>> Parkin Hunter
>>>>> Columbia, SC
>>>>> Sent from my iPhone
>>>>> On Sep 23, 2019, at 2:53 PM, <badgerboy...> wrote:
>>>>> Not to beat a dead horse, but pursuant to the news about bird declines
>>>>> to the tune of 3 billion birds over 50 years in our continent, if you'd
>>>>> like to see first-hand just how this is happening, then go out to Phillips
>>>>> Gap (Milepost 266 or so in Ashe Co. on the Blue Ridge Parkway) right now
>>>>> and see what happens when fossil fuels, earth-moving equipment, and people
>>>>> all get together.
>>>>> What was formerly an incredibly productive wetland and small pond with
>>>>> lots of turtles, frogs, birds, (and I even saw an otter in there once) and
>>>>> a densely vegetated shallow and border area, is now a smoking wreck. The
>>>>> entire area has been bulldozed in what appears to be motivated by the need
>>>>> to water young christmas trees from the pond's supply. There's a dead
>>>>> snapping turtle right on the upper side of the pond. An incredibly sad, but
>>>>> all too common sight these days as our last remaining productive ecosystems
>>>>> are stripped away for profit. And all this in plain view from the Blue
>>>>> Ridge Parkway.
>>>>> The irony here is that the only thing being produced by this calamity
>>>>> is the deluded dream of simpler times invoked by having a tree in one's
>>>>> house during the holidays. If you care about NC appalachian mountain
>>>>> ecosystems and all the birds they support, you might think about not buying
>>>>> a live christmas tree this year, and in the foreseeable future. The
>>>>> environmental destruction could be a very high price to pay for this
>>>>> comfortable delusion.
>>>>> In birding news I found not one but 2! Philadelphia Vireos today on
>>>>> the Mountains to Sea Trail by US421, along with 12 species of warblers. Its
>>>>> shaping up to be a very birdy fall migration season this year in NW NC.
>>>>> Guy McGrane, Deep Gap, NC

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