Date: 5/31/26 5:22 pm
From: Kimball Garrett via groups.io <cyanolyca818...>
Subject: [LACoBirds] The glut of Hooded Warblers
Birders,

Andy Birch noted that his Hooded Warbler along the Los Angeles River in
Frogtown yesterday was the fifth one for Los Angeles County this spring.
Hooded Warblers, like some other species with which they share a breeding
range mainly in the southeastern USA, vary year to year in their occurrence
in California, and many of these southeastern species (also including
Yellow-throated and White-eyed Vireos, Kentucky Warblers, and Northern
Parulas) demonstrate a pattern of appearance here that is often correlated
with Hoodeds.

I looked through eBird data for "spring" (April through June) records of
Hooded Warblers in Los Angeles County and 2026 does indeed stand out. But
first many caveats, e.g.: (1) the eBird database is far from a
complete record of vagrant occurrences. Many records (especially prior to
about 2005 and certainly prior to 2000) have not been entered. Any search
of records beyond a "back of cocktail napkin" estimate must also look at
North American Birds reports (and NAB progenitors, like Field Notes,
American Birds and Audubon Field Notes), specimen databases, and numerous
regional bird books and journals [as well as records committee reports, but
Hooded Warbler records in California were not reviewed by the CBRC after
1978.] (2) Many older records lack publicly available details, so their
acceptance must rely on confidence in whatever review they received from
county/regional compilers, journal/newsletter editors, etc. at the time.
(3) The eBird database is fairly informative about year to year variation,
but analysis of longer term trends must somehow take into account two
opposing factors -- the explosion of birders and birding effort (and the
ease with which birders can now report sightings), and the declines in
populations of many (though not all) migratory songbirds.

Required reading on the subject of annual variation in the occurrence of
Hooded Warblers and their cohorts on the West Coast is "Implications of
vagrant southeastern vireos and warblers in California" by Michael A.
Patten and Curtis A. Marantz, published in The Auk 113(4):911-923.
[available through various research archives, including SORA:
https://digitalcommons.usf.edu/auk/ ] This paper analyzes the amazing
spring/summer of 1992 when unprecedented numbers of many of these species
occurred in California (including the first California breeding record of
Hooded Warblers, at Descanso Gardens). The most likely explanations the
authors suggested were westerly breeding range expansions of these species
and anomalous winds and high pressure systems.

So how does 2026 stack up for Hooded Warblers in Los Angeles County? The
five individuals recorded (and we still have the month of June to go) is
the second highest total ever, exceeded only by the six individuals (not
counting fledged young, but including two records not in eBird) in 1992.
The only other years this century (2000-2026) with more than one Hooded
Warbler in spring in the county were 2016, 2009, and 2006 (two birds each
of those years). A single bird was recorded in eight years this century,
and zero birds were found in 14 years.

As a rough measure of "co-occurrence" of Hooded Warbler and the other most
numerous "southeastern" warbler, I note that 3.9 Northern Parulas were
found in L. A. County in springs that also had records of Hooded Warbler,
but only 2.1 Northern Parulas were found in springs with no Hooded
Warblers. [Obviously there are more sophisticated ways of analyzing this.]

Kimball Garrett
Juniper Hills


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